Some Thoughts on Advertising Terminology

[Tad Carlucci]

The "2 in 3" odds are the odds you, as the seller, are selling a box showing Curious, hiding Mysterious. That is, if you sold 30 boxes from those parents, odds are 20 will hide Mysterious.

For the purchaser, buying one box from those 30, the odds of that box hiding Mysterious are 1 in 2.

I suggest you do, in fact, check with a professor. Since you won't trust me, perhaps you'll believe him when he tells you the same thing.

And, no there is no problem here. There only appears to be because the other boxes .. those showing Mysterious .. are being ignored because you're not offering them for sale.

Or, to put it another way .. for your purchaser to have 2 in 3 odds of purchasing a Curious hiding Mysterious you would need to allow the purchaser to randomly chose from those 30 boxes after you've held back the 10 showing Mysterious.